Jurnal Nizam77

Salam

Apa khabar pembaca semua, semoga sihat. Alhamdulillah minggu ini banyak dapat siapkan tugasan akademik yg tertangguh dek kelahiran baby saya, maklumlah takde pakai orang gaji, semua saya kena sediakan …..jadi mr mama kejap 2 minggu ni.

Pada 30 Okt 09 telah selamat berlangsung satu seminar yang dianjurkan oleh Public Gold sendiri dihadiri oleh otai emas terkenal Pokli dan Syukor Jutawanemas. ALhamdulillah sempat bertanya itu dan ini kepada mereka dan sambutan di Batu Pahat tak kurang hebat juga walaupun malam itu hujan agak lebat juga….tahniah orang batu pahat….

Tapi dalam post kali ini saya tak nak ulas pasal seminar ini panjang, insyallah next post agaknya, tapi nak tumpukan pada pergerakan harga emas utk Nov 1-7 09 ini.

Pergerakan emas di Daily chart menunjukkan garisan MA dah mula bersilang dan begitu juga indicator MACD, positive akan ada pergerakan semula harga ke bullish. Timefame H4 juga menunjukkan MACD yang jelas positif untuk harga emas kembali bullish. Tetapi pergerakan harga pada currency USD dan EUR agak tidak berapa “tally” dengan emas ini,  so ini memberikan petunjuk harga emas akan naik hingga ke paras Resistance level 3 di USD 1060 dan maybe akan buat bounce balik, bergantung kepada pergerakan currency USD ketika itu.

Saya dah mula memajakkan semua emas saya 200 gm PG ke Ar Rahnu untuk membeli stok emas baru pada 30 Okt 09 untuk dijual kerana harga sedang mula nak naik kembali minggu ini dan minggu depan insyaallah.

Analisis ini juga disokong oleh beberapa berita fundamental contohnya berita ini;

Gold Prices to benefit from weaker dollar ‘for the next quarter’

- Friday 30^th October 2009

A prominent analyst suggested today (October 29th) that physical Gold Investment positions are beginning to build up over fears about the dollar, Reuters reports.

Since passing the $1,000-per-ounce mark recently, market commentators have been divided on which direction the yellow metal’s next significant move will be in. Walter de Wet, from Standard Bank, which is the largest bank in Africa, explained that he is expecting further gains because the greenback looks set to struggle for the next three months. He told the news provider: “We have some decent interest in the physical side. We see some base-building going on.

“Our view is that we are going to see a general trend for dollar weakness in the next quarter.”

Those comments were strongly echoed last week by ScotiaMocatta, which is the precious metals division of the Bank of Nova Scotia - the third-largest bank in Canada. In a note viewed by Reuters, the group predicted that gold prices could easily reach as high as $1,400 per ounce over the course of the next 12 months.

“Gold is going through a very interesting time, but there are a multitude of factors influencing the price, some of which are quite contradictory, such as the presence of deflation and the fear of inflation,” read one section. “We also have an uneasy feeling that after the near catastrophic events seen over the past 12 months, the sharp recovery seen since March seems too good to be true, and for that reason it probably is.”

Source: Bullion Vault.com

Tak kurang juga berita terkini untuk currency USD dn EUR di Forexfactory.com mengatakan

“The first week of November is packed with major events: rate decisions in the US, Britain, Europe and Australia, and many employment figures, with the king of forex, Non-Farm Payrolls, the king of forex, closing the week with the monthly circus. There are lots of other events to open the month. Take a deep breath:

So minggu ini investors still waiting for Non Farm Payrolls news, kalau ada effect pada USD maka effect juga pada gold price movement. So kita tunggu dan lihat this week bagaimana trend harga emas dan USD bergerak untuk menjangka pergerakan seterusnya selepas keluar berita Non Farm Payrolls. Jika NFP berita negatif tentang USD, maka harga emas akan naik dan begitu jugalah sebaliknya.

Semoga artikel ini memberikan sedikit pertimbangan dalam pelaburan emas anda.

Kalau ada apa-apa pandangan tentang pergerakan harga emas ini boleh kita share ideas dan pendapat. ….silakan.. .